Posts Tagged ‘president 2020’

The Battle of the Polls

November 1, 2020

This NY Times article is very clear: “Joseph R. Biden Jr. leads President Trump in Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and, by a wide margin, in Wisconsin.” Polling wizards at The Trafalgar Group see things differently. Their polling process emphasizes anonymity and is more likely to get accurate responses from the “shy” Trump supporters. TFG has Trump slightly ahead in Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona with a very small lead in Wisconsin for Biden. So, according to TFG, it’s really close and could easily go Trump’s way. Time will tell.

Impressive Model-Based Prediction

November 1, 2020

Jim Rickards really sticks his neck out on this one: a Trump victory. He does not claim 100% certainty, but does have great confidence in his model-based prediction. Shy voters play a role — those who do not admit they will vote for Trump. But that’s not the only reason…

Shy Voters Make the Difference!

October 23, 2020

According to this pollster, shy voters embarrassed to admit they will vote for Trump will power him to a narrow victory. Interesting!