Posts Tagged ‘election 2020’

The Battle of the Polls

November 1, 2020

This NY Times article is very clear: “Joseph R. Biden Jr. leads President Trump in Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and, by a wide margin, in Wisconsin.” Polling wizards at The Trafalgar Group see things differently. Their polling process emphasizes anonymity and is more likely to get accurate responses from the “shy” Trump supporters. TFG has Trump slightly ahead in Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona with a very small lead in Wisconsin for Biden. So, according to TFG, it’s really close and could easily go Trump’s way. Time will tell.

A Well-Argued Case For Trump’s Victory

November 1, 2020

This article from Iowa is well-argued as to why the polls do not accurately reflect Trump’s standing. Basically, many conservative voters who will vote for Trump are not participating in the polls. And likely voters (versus registered voters) are not being counted. We’ll see!