Archive for the ‘Science’ Category

The Coming Solar Maximum

December 20, 2020

This is a long range prediction. Solar Maximum won’t occur for another 4-6 years. However, when it does, we’ll be able to determine which of two wildly different projections is correct for the maximum of solar cycle 25.

The Sun Is About To Wake Up!

June 19, 2020

A prediction that the Sun is about to wake up from it’s slumber called “solar minimum”. There is no quantitative information in this article, but the source article likely has it. Hats off to Professor Chapman for boldly making a prediction that is falsifiable!

SpaceX and Mars

September 28, 2019

From their website: “Our aspirational goal is to send our first cargo mission to Mars in 2022. The objectives for the first mission will be to confirm water resources, identify hazards, and put in place initial power, mining, and life support infrastructure. A second mission, with both cargo and crew, is targeted for 2024.”

That’s human presence in 6 years!!! NASA’s plans are more like 10-15 years out (and that is widely viewed as overly ambitious). We’ll check back later!

 

Starting Interplanetary Travel

September 30, 2017

Elon Musk reveals plans for interplanetary travel by the mid-2020s. Very soon!

 

 

Sure, We’ll Know How to Read Minds. No Sweat. Just Give Me 50 Years.

April 13, 2014

To me, this prediction is clearly absurd. It’s about the ability to read minds by measuring brain “activity”. In 50 years, I believe we’ll not have anything remotely like this. Well, that’s why I started this blog.

Here is the prediction:

“I think decoding the little person in your brain — we could do that today if we had a good enough method of measuring your brain activity,” Gallant said.

Gallant predicts that in 50 years, thought-reading will be commonplace. We’ll be wearing “Google Hats,” he envisions, that are continuously decoding our thoughts. Such a wonder-cap might transmit and even translate our thoughts into foreign languages.

Jack Gallant is a prominent neuroscientist at the University of California, Berkeley.

Here is the article.

Hurrican Season 2013

May 24, 2013

An article from the AGU:

In its 2013 Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued today, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting an active or extremely active season this year.

For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA’s Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook says there is a 70 percent likelihood of 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 7 to 11 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).

These ranges are well above the seasonal average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.

 

Extreme weather due to global warming – some specific predictions

April 3, 2012

Here we go, reported by the Detroit Free Press:

http://www.freep.com/article/20120329/NEWS07/203290470/Get-ready-for-more-weather-disasters-climate-panel-says

CIimateExtremesDetroitFreePress_2012

Severe storms, heat waves, droughts and floods! Problem is, this could be years (as in 50) away.

 

Data will be posted and show warming

December 6, 2009

British weather service to publish 150 years of data

LONDON (AFP) – Britain’s Met Office national weather service said Saturday it would publish data from weather stations worldwide and had “every confidence” it would show temperatures had risen in the last 150 years.

The decision comes in the wake of claims that British scientists sought to suppress data backing climate change sceptics’ views.

“The Met Office does intend to release data from more than 1,000 weather stations,” a spokesman said.

“It will be available on our website.”

He said the Met Office had “every confidence” in the data which would show that global temperatures had warmed up over the last 150 years.

_________________________________________

Prediction made on Saturday, December 5, 2009.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20091205/sc_afp/unclimatewarmingbritainweather

El Nino 2009

October 9, 2009

From

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090709_elnino.html

El Niño Arrives; Expected to Persist through Winter 2009-10

July 9, 2009

NOAA scientists today announced the arrival of El Niño, a climate phenomenon with a significant influence on global weather, ocean conditions and marine fisheries. El Niño, the periodic warming of central and eastern tropical Pacific waters, occurs on average every two to five years and typically lasts about 12 months.

Sea Surface Temperatures the week of July 2009.

Sea surface temperatures along the equatorial Eastern Pacific, as of July 1, are at least one degree above average — a sign of El Niño. Animation.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

NOAA expects this El Niño to continue developing during the next several months, with further strengthening possible. The event is expected to last through winter 2009-10…

El Niño’s negative impacts have included damaging winter storms in California and increased storminess across the southern United States. Some past El Niños also have produced severe flooding and mudslides in Central and South America, and drought in Indonesia…

Next solar cycle peak (solar maximum) will occur in 2012, er, 2013

June 2, 2009

The coming 11-year cycle of solar storms most likely started in December 2008 and will peak in 2013 – more than a year later than previously forecast – according to a revised forecast issued by NOAA’s Space Environment Center in coordination with an international panel of solar experts.

This web site has the 2007 prediction and the revision in May 2009: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/SC24/index.html