Archive for the ‘Politics’ Category

Trump Will Be President

January 11, 2021

Here is a very unusual prediction given this late date. Trump another 4 years? Stated 10 days before Biden’s inauguration?

Election Fraud Claims on Twitter

December 6, 2020

The evidence “bombshells” will be reported here. Did they result in any indictments or convictions? Any follow on court actions of any kind?

Postal contractor hauling illegal ballots across state lines. From @realDonaldTrump on 12/1/2020.

Secret counting of ballots on election day. From @nahoum4by on 12/4/2020.

Dominion Voting Machines flip votes. From @aaronjcarpenter on 12/6/2020.

Election 2020: The Fraud in Georgia

November 22, 2020

This article has specifics about the lawsuit that will be filed soon in Georgia, demonstrating corruption and fraud in the Georgia presidential election. We’ll find out how it stacks up!

The Battle of the Polls

November 1, 2020

This NY Times article is very clear: “Joseph R. Biden Jr. leads President Trump in Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona and, by a wide margin, in Wisconsin.” Polling wizards at The Trafalgar Group see things differently. Their polling process emphasizes anonymity and is more likely to get accurate responses from the “shy” Trump supporters. TFG has Trump slightly ahead in Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona with a very small lead in Wisconsin for Biden. So, according to TFG, it’s really close and could easily go Trump’s way. Time will tell.

Impressive Model-Based Prediction

November 1, 2020

Jim Rickards really sticks his neck out on this one: a Trump victory. He does not claim 100% certainty, but does have great confidence in his model-based prediction. Shy voters play a role — those who do not admit they will vote for Trump. But that’s not the only reason…

A Well-Argued Case For Trump’s Victory

November 1, 2020

This article from Iowa is well-argued as to why the polls do not accurately reflect Trump’s standing. Basically, many conservative voters who will vote for Trump are not participating in the polls. And likely voters (versus registered voters) are not being counted. We’ll see!

Shy Voters Make the Difference!

October 23, 2020

According to this pollster, shy voters embarrassed to admit they will vote for Trump will power him to a narrow victory. Interesting!

More Dueling Predictions!

October 23, 2020

Two predictions offered, widely separated in their choices. What makes this so interesting is the landslide for Trump predicted by one of the professors. Given current polling, that would be interesting!

Dueling Projections Election 2020

October 21, 2020

These are two opposite projections about the 2020 presidential elections, issued on about October 21, about two weeks before election day. I have to say, both articles are convincing: Fox News versus New York Times. We’ll see!

Collapse of the Biden-Harris Ticket in 2020

August 19, 2020

A very clear prediction from Newt Gingrich that the Biden-Harris ticket will collapse. Specifically, the prediction is that the contest will be like the McGovern loss in 1972 when the Democrat carried just two states. That’s quite a prediction since there is no evidence that Biden-Harris will carry just two states. We’ll see!

Generally, predicting complete disaster for a candidate is not a good idea, because supporters of the opponent become less motivated. So, I don’t know why Gingrich would state this unless he really believes it. And Gingrich is quite an experienced politician, so his opinion is not to be ignored.